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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

MERTHYR TOWN vs. SWINDON TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Merthyr Town's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.


  Merthyr Town   Swindon Town  
  Current ELO Score: 2954.1   3443.9  
  Best ELO Score: 3670  
Saturday, September 3, 1921  		 3898.2  
Tuesday, August 28, 1990  
  Worst ELO Score: 2756.2  
Saturday, February 19, 2022  		 3364.9  
Saturday, March 8, 1902  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Merthyr Town and Swindon Town.

 Venue Played Merthyr Town
wins		 Draws Swindon Town
wins		 Merthyr Town
goals		 Swindon Town
goals		 Merthyr Town
SR%		 Swindon Town
SR%
 TOTAL 27 7 6 14 38 60 37.0% 63.0%
 HOME 13 5 6 2 26 18 61.5% 38.5%
 AWAY 14 2 0 12 12 42 14.3% 85.7%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
13 NOV 1965 CUP Swindon Town  
(3715)  		 5 - 1   Merthyr Tydfil
  (3374)		 2.7
8 FEB 1930 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3401)  		 3 - 3   Swindon Town
  (3612)		 2.3
5 OCT 1929 LGE Swindon Town  
(3616)  		 6 - 3   Merthyr Town
  (3469)		 5.9
20 APR 1929 LGE Swindon Town  
(3649)  		 2 - 1   Merthyr Town
  (3476)		 3
15 APR 1929 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3475)  		 0 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3650)		 1.3
18 FEB 1928 LGE Swindon Town  
(3735)  		 1 - 2   Merthyr Town
  (3502)		 17.8
8 OCT 1927 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3559)  		 8 - 2   Swindon Town
  (3641)		 18.4
27 DEC 1926 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3577)  		 1 - 2   Swindon Town
  (3745)		 8.8
25 DEC 1926 LGE Swindon Town  
(3742)  		 3 - 2   Merthyr Town
  (3580)		 3.2
22 FEB 1926 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3562)  		 2 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3682)		 10
19 SEP 1925 LGE Swindon Town  
(3702)  		 0 - 2   Merthyr Town
  (3455)		 26.8
25 APR 1925 LGE Swindon Town  
(3706)  		 5 - 1   Merthyr Town
  (3461)		 4.1
20 DEC 1924 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3574)  		 1 - 5   Swindon Town
  (3726)		 17
13 OCT 1923 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3571)  		 2 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3702)		 15.7
6 OCT 1923 LGE Swindon Town  
(3695)  		 3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3578)		 7.3
4 SEP 1922 LGE Swindon Town  
(3720)  		 4 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3644)		 9.4
28 AUG 1922 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3638)  		 1 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3708)		 1.3
12 DEC 1921 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3632)  		 4 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3726)		 16.5
10 DEC 1921 LGE Swindon Town  
(3717)  		 3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3640)		 8.8
2 OCT 1920 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3555)  		 2 - 2   Swindon Town
  (3706)		 1
25 SEP 1920 LGE Swindon Town  
(3700)  		 3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3562)		 6.6
8 SEP 1919 SL Merthyr Town  
(3552)  		 0 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3734)		 1.8
1 SEP 1919 SL Swindon Town  
(3724)  		 1 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3549)		 3.1
13 APR 1914 SL Swindon Town  
(3791)  		 3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3544)		 3.8
10 APR 1914 SL Merthyr Town  
(3545)  		 1 - 1   Swindon Town
  (3794)		 3.5
24 MAR 1913 SL Merthyr Town  
(3611)  		 1 - 0   Swindon Town
  (3809)		 12.2
21 MAR 1913 SL Swindon Town  
(3788)  		 3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3620)		 5.6